Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (24 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 40
Defender wins (Vichy French): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1138 | 1075 | 59% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
1122 | 1050 | 60% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
966 | 943 | 53% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
1060 | 1052 | 51% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1252 | 19% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
1063 | 1129 | 41% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
1047 | 1138 | 37% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
1034 | 1159 | 33% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
1025 | 1169 | 30% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
1069 | 1162 | 37% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
1029 | 1056 | 46% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
1311 | 1353 | 44% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
1141 | 1026 | 66% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
1175 | 1003 | 73% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
1120 | 1048 | 60% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
1147 | 1081 | 59% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
1117 | 1090 | 54% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
1283 | 1016 | 82% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
938 | 1141 | 24% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
979 | 1028 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1085 vs 1082.8 has a 50.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).