Dingoes At Damour
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (26 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 42
Defender wins (Vichy French): 46
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1074 | 32% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1120 | 36% | 2024-04-23 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1155 | 49% | 2024-04-20 | Lost |
| 958 | 924 | 55% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1099 | 47% | 2024-02-12 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1218 | 26% | 2022-12-11 | Won |
| 1107 | 951 | 71% | 2022-10-15 | Won |
| 1060 | 945 | 66% | 2022-10-03 | Won |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2022-09-07 | Won |
| 1113 | 968 | 70% | 2022-08-17 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 998 | 56% | 2022-03-04 | Won |
| 1097 | 1178 | 39% | 2022-02-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1065 | 51% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1030 | 77% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1238 | 1220 | 53% | 2021-07-23 | Won |
| 1053 | 972 | 61% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2021-06-27 | Won |
| 1202 | 1030 | 73% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1070 | 55% | 2021-06-11 | Won |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2021-05-17 | Lost |
| 1230 | 1013 | 78% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1013 | 68% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1217 | 1017 | 76% | 2021-05-12 | Won |
| 939 | 1236 | 15% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-04-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1087.2 vs 1065.2 has a 53.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).