True To Form
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (10 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (British): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1245 | 1216 | 54% | 2026-02-02 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 924 | 973 | 43% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1030 | 75% | 2023-01-08 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Won |
| 1053 | 1035 | 53% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2021-09-29 | Won |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2021-01-27 | Won |
| 1218 | 1024 | 75% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1081.5 vs 1074.5 has a 51.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).