Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 147 (25 on the archive and 122 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 68
Defender wins (German): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2026-05-12 | Won |
| 1175 | 1187 | 48% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 777 | 89% | 2024-11-07 | Won |
| 1077 | 1178 | 36% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1004 | 82% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1023 | 40% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1026 | 46% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
| 886 | 698 | 75% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
| 1087 | 1030 | 58% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1060 | 50% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
| 928 | 939 | 48% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1195 | 971 | 78% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
| 1035 | 1076 | 44% | 2021-03-09 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1087 | 48% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 967 | 1035 | 40% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1055 | 57% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
| 1160 | 1227 | 40% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1029 | 48% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
| 955 | 1118 | 28% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
| 855 | 920 | 41% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
| 1217 | 997 | 78% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1018.2 has a 55.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).