Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 133 (16 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 61
Defender wins (German): 72
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1069 | 1162 | 37% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
961 | 1061 | 36% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
883 | 833 | 57% | 2022-07-09 | Won |
981 | 982 | 50% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
986 | 986 | 50% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
1117 | 981 | 69% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
968 | 1051 | 38% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
1147 | 1081 | 59% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
1141 | 1311 | 27% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
1054 | 994 | 59% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
872 | 941 | 40% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
1132 | 1169 | 45% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
1144 | 1020 | 67% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1031.3 vs 1040.3 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).