Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (15 on the archive and 117 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 60
Defender wins (German): 72
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1063 | 1163 | 36% | 2024-02-09 | Lost |
961 | 1061 | 36% | 2023-04-18 | Lost |
1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2022-11-02 | Lost |
949 | 949 | 50% | 2021-09-03 | Won |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2021-08-25 | Lost |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
1117 | 949 | 72% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
968 | 1051 | 38% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
1175 | 1090 | 62% | 2021-01-14 | Won |
1197 | 1327 | 32% | 2021-01-08 | Won |
1055 | 992 | 59% | 2020-12-30 | Lost |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
879 | 1029 | 30% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
1183 | 1168 | 52% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
1198 | 948 | 81% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1045.3 has a 50.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).