Cocktails for Molotov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (13 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (Polish): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1076 | 1076 | 50% | 2025-04-05 | Lost |
| 1038 | 985 | 58% | 2025-02-23 | Won |
| 909 | 1066 | 29% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 955 | 1175 | 22% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 948 | 1195 | 19% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 961 | 1002 | 44% | 2022-12-19 | Tied |
| 780 | 999 | 22% | 2022-10-14 | Lost |
| 879 | 1195 | 14% | 2022-08-22 | Tied |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2021-04-04 | Won |
| 1013 | 875 | 69% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 999 | 967 | 55% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 976 | 1134 | 29% | 2021-01-10 | Lost |
| 1102 | 887 | 78% | 2020-12-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 977.1 vs 1047.8 has a 39.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).