Second Hand News
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (29 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 42
Defender wins (Italian / Partisan (French)): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 1060 | 41% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 948 | 1018 | 40% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 893 | 893 | 50% | 2024-09-29 | Won |
| 1164 | 1102 | 59% | 2024-08-03 | Won |
| 973 | 937 | 55% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1118 | 50% | 2023-03-24 | Won |
| 1115 | 1094 | 53% | 2022-04-20 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1077 | 58% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 948 | 1200 | 19% | 2022-03-06 | Won |
| 1168 | 1077 | 63% | 2022-02-24 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2022-02-23 | Lost |
| 991 | 903 | 62% | 2022-02-15 | Won |
| 969 | 937 | 55% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1046 | 52% | 2021-11-05 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1040 | 53% | 2021-08-28 | Won |
| 1191 | 1183 | 51% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1183 | 50% | 2021-06-06 | Lost |
| 1056 | 920 | 69% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1105 | 977 | 68% | 2021-05-24 | Won |
| 977 | 1053 | 39% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1274 | 19% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
| 932 | 1216 | 16% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1035 | 53% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 880 | 1008 | 32% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 875 | 1125 | 19% | 2020-12-13 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1064 | 41% | 2020-12-01 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1198 | 31% | 2020-11-24 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1094 | 57% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2020-11-10 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1051 vs 1064.2 has a 48.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).