Taking San Stefano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (7 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1042 | 1026 | 52% | 2024-03-16 | Won |
| 1021 | 1056 | 45% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1144 | 38% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
| 895 | 1012 | 34% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 1008 | 937 | 60% | 2020-08-06 | Lost |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2020-06-05 | Won |
| 974 | 1026 | 43% | 2020-05-21 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1007.4 vs 1026.3 has a 47.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).