Counterstroke at Stonne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (15 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 45
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1096 | 1096 | 50% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 993 | 1096 | 36% | 2025-03-23 | Lost |
| 1033 | 978 | 58% | 2025-03-01 | Lost |
| 954 | 1033 | 39% | 2023-11-26 | Lost |
| 932 | 1112 | 26% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1061 | 68% | 2022-07-27 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1011 | 50% | 2022-06-04 | Lost |
| 971 | 1010 | 44% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1161 | 50% | 2020-09-26 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1195 | 39% | 2020-06-16 | Lost |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 1158 | 1310 | 29% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
| 1079 | 921 | 71% | 2020-01-22 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1071.2 vs 1073.1 has a 49.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).