Chance d'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
947 | 1003 | 42% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
1109 | 1092 | 52% | 2022-07-26 | Lost |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2022-02-04 | Lost |
833 | 896 | 41% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
1311 | 1026 | 84% | 2021-03-26 | Lost |
1159 | 1296 | 31% | 2021-01-01 | Lost |
876 | 1147 | 17% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
1003 | 1311 | 15% | 2020-05-31 | Lost |
1283 | 1016 | 82% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1062.6 vs 1078.4 has a 47.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).