In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (French): 10
Defender wins (German): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1078 | 1014 | 59% | 2024-07-26 | Lost |
947 | 1003 | 42% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
954 | 1003 | 43% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
1142 | 1138 | 51% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
1055 | 944 | 65% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
1000 | 929 | 60% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
964 | 991 | 46% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
965 | 1003 | 45% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
1141 | 1061 | 61% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
1141 | 1061 | 61% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
1147 | 1169 | 47% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
1015 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
1159 | 964 | 75% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
1132 | 1225 | 37% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
1091 | 960 | 68% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
1141 | 1311 | 27% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
1012 | 964 | 57% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
1017 | 964 | 58% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1049.8 vs 1026.7 has a 53.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).