In Front of the Storm
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (22 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 24
Defender wins (German): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
952 | 1204 | 19% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2023-07-16 | Won |
1028 | 1087 | 42% | 2023-05-20 | Lost |
1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-08-07 | Lost |
1001 | 929 | 60% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
1013 | 991 | 53% | 2022-01-16 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2021-07-19 | Lost |
964 | 1204 | 20% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
1176 | 1061 | 66% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
1176 | 1061 | 66% | 2021-03-26 | Won |
1176 | 1171 | 51% | 2021-03-22 | Lost |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2021-02-26 | Won |
1016 | 1011 | 51% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
1159 | 1013 | 70% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
1183 | 1225 | 44% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2020-07-22 | Lost |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
1090 | 917 | 73% | 2020-05-05 | Lost |
1176 | 1327 | 30% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
1018 | 1013 | 51% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1046.6 vs 1072.4 has a 46.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).