Heroes' Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (9 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Indian (British)): 18
Defender wins (Indonesian (IRA)): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2026-04-10 | Won |
| 1230 | 1038 | 75% | 2021-04-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 1057 | 47% | 2021-02-17 | Won |
| 1125 | 1127 | 50% | 2020-07-11 | Won |
| 884 | 888 | 49% | 2020-05-13 | Won |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2020-03-23 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1003 | 59% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 972 | 1123 | 30% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
| 1091 | 1017 | 60% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1034.6 vs 1049.1 has a 47.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).