Fire from the Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (4 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
960 | 1055 | 37% | 2024-06-29 | Won |
977 | 994 | 48% | 2022-06-14 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
1016 | 1283 | 18% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1109.3 has a 36.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).