Long Day of Confusion
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (13 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
997 | 912 | 62% | 2023-09-03 | Won |
1252 | 1246 | 51% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2023-05-21 | Lost |
1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2023-01-15 | Lost |
1006 | 982 | 53% | 2023-01-07 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
1048 | 1066 | 47% | 2022-11-17 | Won |
1003 | 1211 | 23% | 2022-01-01 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
1023 | 992 | 54% | 2021-09-11 | Won |
1211 | 1141 | 60% | 2020-05-01 | Won |
1048 | 1080 | 45% | 2019-11-24 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2019-11-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1072.6 vs 1082.4 has a 48.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).