New and Untested
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (20 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 890 | 50% | 2026-05-17 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2025-04-27 | Lost |
| 1023 | 958 | 59% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-11-09 | Won |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2022-08-10 | Lost |
| 930 | 989 | 42% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-05-03 | Won |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2022-05-03 | Won |
| 1035 | 1053 | 47% | 2022-04-12 | Won |
| 933 | 1208 | 17% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
| 1230 | 986 | 80% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 912 | 927 | 48% | 2021-03-30 | Won |
| 1065 | 1178 | 34% | 2020-11-07 | Won |
| 1028 | 1205 | 27% | 2020-10-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-07-08 | Won |
| 1178 | 1135 | 56% | 2020-04-20 | Won |
| 992 | 1023 | 46% | 2020-01-11 | Tied |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2020-01-09 | Won |
| 986 | 1131 | 30% | 2019-11-16 | Lost |
| 1026 | 993 | 55% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1037 vs 1057.5 has a 47.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).