Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (17 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 872 | 883 | 48% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 864 | 1126 | 18% | 2023-01-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1208 | 17% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1155 | 39% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1302 | 1091 | 77% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1108 | 26% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1057 | 54% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1195 | 1037 | 71% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1195 | 1083 | 66% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1169 | 1142 | 54% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 1037 | 1195 | 29% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1176 | 1037 | 69% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 933 | 66% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 902 | 1084 | 26% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1039 | 1066 | 46% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 1010 | 976 | 55% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1079.6 has a 44.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).