Red Horse Recon
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (15 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 917 | 1046 | 32% | 2022-06-17 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1155 | 42% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1310 | 1074 | 80% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 924 | 1173 | 19% | 2021-02-26 | Lost |
| 924 | 1108 | 26% | 2021-02-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1058 | 51% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 1205 | 917 | 84% | 2020-01-30 | Won |
| 1205 | 1077 | 68% | 2020-01-27 | Won |
| 1138 | 1118 | 53% | 2019-12-30 | Won |
| 917 | 1205 | 16% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1148 | 917 | 79% | 2019-12-16 | Won |
| 1058 | 933 | 67% | 2019-11-22 | Won |
| 1022 | 982 | 56% | 2019-10-12 | Lost |
| 905 | 1072 | 28% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1019 | 977 | 56% | 2019-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1057.1 vs 1054.1 has a 50.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).