Take It Back
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (21 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
969 | 1030 | 41% | 2023-01-04 | Won |
969 | 1032 | 41% | 2022-10-25 | Won |
969 | 963 | 51% | 2022-10-19 | Lost |
1056 | 1143 | 38% | 2022-01-05 | Lost |
981 | 961 | 53% | 2021-09-15 | Lost |
1100 | 961 | 69% | 2021-08-30 | Lost |
1038 | 992 | 57% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
965 | 974 | 49% | 2021-01-24 | Lost |
1079 | 1056 | 53% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
1079 | 1056 | 53% | 2021-01-02 | Lost |
1019 | 1138 | 34% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
1163 | 1058 | 65% | 2020-05-21 | Lost |
1186 | 1021 | 72% | 2020-04-28 | Lost |
1187 | 1055 | 68% | 2020-03-15 | Won |
1141 | 1431 | 16% | 2020-02-07 | Lost |
1013 | 990 | 53% | 2020-01-31 | Won |
1093 | 1112 | 47% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
1042 | 1055 | 48% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
974 | 1055 | 39% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
974 | 1055 | 39% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1053.9 vs 1056.8 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).