A Fine Mess...
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (18 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 23
Defender wins (German): 24
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1090 | 922 | 72% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
943 | 927 | 52% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
1069 | 819 | 81% | 2023-10-30 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
943 | 1091 | 30% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
1078 | 892 | 74% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
992 | 1267 | 17% | 2022-03-26 | Lost |
1107 | 943 | 72% | 2021-11-13 | Lost |
1071 | 1075 | 49% | 2021-11-06 | Lost |
943 | 1033 | 37% | 2020-12-12 | Tied |
1069 | 994 | 61% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
1141 | 1311 | 27% | 2020-04-17 | Won |
954 | 1090 | 31% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
1211 | 1010 | 76% | 2020-03-20 | Lost |
1079 | 1018 | 59% | 2020-02-01 | Lost |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2020-01-24 | Lost |
977 | 1138 | 28% | 2019-12-05 | Lost |
1112 | 1069 | 56% | 2019-08-02 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052.1 vs 1050.5 has a 50.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).