20 Years Later
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (18 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 1141 | 56% | 2025-03-22 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-09-09 | Won |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 2024-05-24 | Won |
| 1029 | 769 | 82% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1066 | 63% | 2023-04-29 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1139 | 42% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
| 1080 | 1313 | 21% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
| 985 | 1218 | 21% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 1218 | 985 | 79% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
| 954 | 946 | 51% | 2020-01-22 | Won |
| 987 | 1085 | 36% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
| 989 | 1212 | 22% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1044 | 48% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
| 769 | 1029 | 18% | 2019-08-04 | Lost |
| 1210 | 1212 | 50% | 2019-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1093.3 has a 45.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).