20 Years Later
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (15 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 13
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1014 | 1003 | 52% | 2024-05-24 | Won |
1069 | 819 | 81% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
1143 | 1056 | 62% | 2023-04-29 | Lost |
1082 | 1142 | 41% | 2022-01-26 | Won |
1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2021-01-29 | Lost |
1033 | 1252 | 22% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
1252 | 1033 | 78% | 2020-04-23 | Lost |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
1003 | 1003 | 50% | 2020-01-22 | Won |
1040 | 1063 | 47% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2020-01-14 | Tied |
992 | 1128 | 31% | 2019-11-27 | Lost |
1069 | 1046 | 53% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
819 | 1069 | 19% | 2019-08-04 | Lost |
1190 | 1128 | 59% | 2019-05-15 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1082.4 vs 1085.1 has a 49.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).