Ma Deuce Delivers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (30 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (American): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1198 | 1004 | 75% | 2026-07-20 | Won |
| 1060 | 982 | 61% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 928 | 865 | 59% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1136 | 46% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1132 | 41% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
| 999 | 997 | 50% | 2022-06-06 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1132 | 50% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
| 1079 | 1055 | 53% | 2022-03-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2022-03-13 | Lost |
| 908 | 1080 | 27% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1080 | 40% | 2021-10-30 | Won |
| 1070 | 878 | 75% | 2021-10-05 | Tied |
| 955 | 1118 | 28% | 2021-05-28 | Won |
| 928 | 884 | 56% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1126 | 40% | 2019-11-09 | Lost |
| 991 | 1126 | 31% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
| 1140 | 777 | 89% | 2019-09-04 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2019-06-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1216 | 26% | 2019-05-20 | Lost |
| 922 | 1219 | 15% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1123 | 985 | 69% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 951 | 1226 | 17% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 1070 | 1143 | 40% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1070 | 65% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1010 | 87% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
| 1083 | 914 | 73% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1012 | 51% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1152 | 37% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1123 | 919 | 76% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1046.8 has a 51.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).