As Luck Would Have It
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (19 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 41
Defender wins (British): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1033 | 1252 | 22% | 2024-05-09 | Lost |
967 | 881 | 62% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
1026 | 1019 | 51% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
1058 | 1064 | 49% | 2020-07-27 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2020-07-08 | Won |
886 | 857 | 54% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
1069 | 984 | 62% | 2020-02-27 | Won |
861 | 985 | 33% | 2019-09-05 | Lost |
993 | 997 | 49% | 2019-08-17 | Lost |
1003 | 973 | 54% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
1003 | 973 | 54% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
881 | 1003 | 33% | 2019-07-27 | Tied |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2019-04-18 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2019-03-07 | Won |
1118 | 1138 | 47% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2019-02-23 | Won |
1207 | 1144 | 59% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
1207 | 1144 | 59% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1045.1 vs 1028.9 has a 52.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).