The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (26 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 40
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | 2026-05-07 | | Won |
| 1127 | 966 | 72% | 2025-12-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2025-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2023-12-09 | | Won |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2022-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2022-08-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2022-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-05-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2021-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 966 | 56% | 2021-07-03 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1055 | 72% | 2021-02-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2021-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1034 | 45% | 2021-01-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1127 | 32% | 2020-11-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2020-07-03 | | Won |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2020-04-18 | | Won |
| 974 | 918 | 58% | 2019-05-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2019-05-08 | | Lost |
| 986 | 1056 | 40% | 2019-03-23 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1008 | 69% | 2019-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2019-02-16 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-16 | | Won |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2019-01-18 | | Won |
| 1275 | 1150 | 67% | 2019-01-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1013 | 1086 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1057.7 vs 1025.5 has a 54.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).