The Playing Field
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (18 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 32
Defender wins (German): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1093 | 773 | 86% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
1030 | 989 | 56% | 2022-12-11 | Lost |
1027 | 1014 | 52% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
1014 | 1023 | 49% | 2022-06-01 | Lost |
1081 | 1109 | 46% | 2022-05-09 | Lost |
1159 | 1159 | 50% | 2021-10-01 | Lost |
983 | 1009 | 46% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
1189 | 1097 | 63% | 2021-02-21 | Won |
892 | 919 | 46% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
1068 | 1034 | 55% | 2021-01-04 | Won |
1054 | 994 | 59% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
1078 | 960 | 66% | 2020-04-18 | Won |
1001 | 941 | 59% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
919 | 948 | 46% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
1025 | 1057 | 45% | 2019-03-23 | Won |
1115 | 1000 | 66% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
1178 | 856 | 86% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
1168 | 1122 | 57% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1059.7 vs 1000.2 has a 58.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).