Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (7 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1054 | 966 | 62% | 2024-10-05 | | Won |
| 968 | 1056 | 38% | 2022-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2021-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 967 | 57% | 2021-05-17 | | Won |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2021-03-06 | | Won |
| 1099 | 918 | 74% | 2019-05-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1039.7 vs 993.6 has a 56.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).