One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German ): 4
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 961 | 48% | 2025-10-24 | Won |
| 984 | 984 | 50% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1088 | 67% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1005 | 60% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 1074 | 1005 | 60% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
| 946 | 879 | 60% | 2019-08-06 | Tied |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 946 | 1040 | 37% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1031.7 vs 1023.7 has a 51.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).