One Down, Two to Go
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German ): 3
Defender wins (Russian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1084 | 1023 | 59% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
992 | 994 | 50% | 2023-08-02 | Lost |
1078 | 944 | 68% | 2022-08-12 | Won |
1170 | 1170 | 50% | 2021-01-12 | Lost |
1109 | 873 | 80% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
1109 | 873 | 80% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
1003 | 881 | 67% | 2019-08-06 | Tied |
986 | 1144 | 29% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
960 | 1055 | 37% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 995.2 has a 58.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).