Ozarks and Frundsbergers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (9 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German (SS)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1191 | 1139 | 57% | 2025-08-30 | Won |
| 1191 | 1075 | 66% | 2025-08-30 | Won |
| 962 | 1220 | 18% | 2025-08-30 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1347 | 26% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 919 | 1140 | 22% | 2023-11-03 | Won |
| 727 | 1140 | 8% | 2023-10-19 | Lost |
| 1102 | 884 | 78% | 2023-10-07 | Won |
| 1169 | 1343 | 27% | 2019-06-22 | Lost |
| 979 | 1111 | 32% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1045.2 vs 1155.4 has a 34.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).