Insurrection at Cividale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (10 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 15
Defender wins (German (SS)): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1064 | 1031 | 55% | 2024-04-11 | Tied |
960 | 1109 | 30% | 2022-10-27 | Lost |
973 | 979 | 49% | 2022-03-01 | Lost |
1117 | 1069 | 57% | 2021-05-15 | Lost |
1008 | 964 | 56% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
1141 | 1050 | 63% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2020-02-18 | Lost |
1132 | 1225 | 37% | 2019-06-28 | Lost |
1003 | 1023 | 47% | 2019-05-13 | Won |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2019-02-13 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1078.3 vs 1053.4 has a 53.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).