Heart of Darkness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (10 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (South African): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2022-07-22 | Lost |
1159 | 1208 | 43% | 2020-06-19 | Lost |
1018 | 1060 | 44% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
977 | 1307 | 13% | 2019-05-11 | Lost |
1002 | 979 | 53% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
921 | 1109 | 25% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
1018 | 964 | 58% | 2019-01-18 | Won |
1128 | 1021 | 65% | 2018-12-18 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1048.1 vs 1066.8 has a 47.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).