Per L'Onore Di Roma
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (35 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2023-10-08 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1234 | 35% | 2023-05-06 | Won |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2023-05-03 | Lost |
| 988 | 884 | 65% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1140 | 1162 | 47% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-06-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1343 | 22% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1343 | 22% | 2022-04-01 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1430 | 8% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 998 | 984 | 52% | 2021-11-07 | Lost |
| 1174 | 982 | 75% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 1139 | 30% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1038 | 1139 | 36% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
| 996 | 786 | 77% | 2021-06-27 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1068 | 43% | 2021-06-08 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 934 | 1064 | 32% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
| 933 | 1146 | 23% | 2020-09-22 | Won |
| 1206 | 750 | 93% | 2020-08-10 | Won |
| 1019 | 951 | 60% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 999 | 989 | 51% | 2020-06-04 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1121 | 55% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 1102 | 1142 | 44% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
| 1003 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-10 | Lost |
| 954 | 1164 | 23% | 2019-11-08 | Won |
| 982 | 1131 | 30% | 2019-11-08 | Lost |
| 1108 | 954 | 71% | 2019-08-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 988 | 50% | 2019-07-20 | Lost |
| 997 | 1046 | 43% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 1228 | 988 | 80% | 2019-03-22 | Won |
| 983 | 1215 | 21% | 2019-03-20 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1206 | 30% | 2019-03-15 | Won |
| 1006 | 1019 | 48% | 2018-11-17 | Won |
| 1017 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1056.7 vs 1077.4 has a 47.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).