Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (American): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 931 | 57% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 1018 | 40% | 2021-12-22 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2021-05-30 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 978 | 938 | 56% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 968 | 1017 | 43% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 938 | 1045 | 35% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1018 | 80% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 971 | 964 | 51% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 1159 | 1063 | 63% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1001 | 49% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1039.7 vs 1009.2 has a 54.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).