Wiener Walzer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (28 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1092 | 1079 | 52% | 2023-12-29 | Lost |
| 964 | 1021 | 42% | 2023-08-11 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1043 | 50% | 2023-07-23 | Lost |
| 1421 | 1251 | 73% | 2023-01-02 | Won |
| 953 | 982 | 46% | 2022-06-07 | Lost |
| 973 | 902 | 60% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 973 | 1123 | 30% | 2020-11-22 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1037 | 66% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 820 | 1152 | 13% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 964 | 1030 | 41% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 964 | 1030 | 41% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 881 | 1128 | 19% | 2020-10-08 | Lost |
| 1015 | 888 | 68% | 2020-07-08 | Lost |
| 1121 | 947 | 73% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
| 1216 | 1031 | 74% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1159 | 63% | 2019-08-07 | Won |
| 1031 | 955 | 61% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2019-05-16 | Won |
| 1052 | 884 | 72% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1087 | 964 | 67% | 2019-04-12 | Won |
| 1099 | 1040 | 58% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 969 | 1001 | 45% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1123 | 1052 | 60% | 2019-02-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1226 | 20% | 2019-02-08 | Lost |
| 933 | 1218 | 16% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 971 | 969 | 50% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1129 | 50% | 2018-11-26 | Won |
| 900 | 1220 | 14% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1043.4 has a 50.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).