Fahrenheit 352
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (26 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 40
Defender wins (German): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 1112 | 26% | 2024-12-22 | Lost |
| 978 | 1048 | 40% | 2023-11-15 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1068 | 48% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1050 | 49% | 2022-07-15 | Won |
| 1093 | 1014 | 61% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1011 | 58% | 2021-06-24 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-31 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2020-08-08 | Lost |
| 899 | 966 | 40% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 938 | 1223 | 16% | 2019-06-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1223 | 49% | 2019-06-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1160 | 58% | 2019-06-05 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1012 | 60% | 2019-06-01 | Won |
| 1097 | 1110 | 48% | 2019-04-29 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1159 | 47% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 1108 | 36% | 2019-03-02 | Lost |
| 878 | 1079 | 24% | 2019-02-28 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1098 | 67% | 2019-01-31 | Lost |
| 1048 | 993 | 58% | 2018-12-28 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1048 | 66% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1090 | 53% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 1045 | 966 | 61% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1075.2 vs 1074.3 has a 50.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).