Gotta Get Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (17 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1043 | 1022 | 53% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
865 | 857 | 51% | 2023-02-10 | Lost |
1307 | 1058 | 81% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
1147 | 989 | 71% | 2021-04-30 | Won |
1031 | 1170 | 31% | 2021-01-16 | Won |
1109 | 960 | 70% | 2020-04-02 | Won |
1008 | 983 | 54% | 2020-02-23 | Won |
997 | 956 | 56% | 2019-12-04 | Won |
896 | 943 | 43% | 2019-11-04 | Won |
1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2019-05-27 | Won |
1115 | 1069 | 57% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
1283 | 889 | 91% | 2019-04-10 | Won |
880 | 1055 | 27% | 2019-02-03 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2018-11-11 | Won |
1055 | 875 | 74% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
1141 | 1311 | 27% | 2018-08-18 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1070.2 vs 1007.8 has a 58.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).