Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 944 | 36% | 2025-03-08 | | Lost |
| 1028 | 931 | 64% | 2024-07-28 | | Lost |
| 833 | 1028 | 25% | 2024-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-09-27 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1038 | 49% | 2022-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1435 | 14% | 2022-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1153 | 47% | 2022-06-11 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2022-05-30 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1028 | 48% | 2022-02-02 | | Won |
| 1164 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1152 | 49% | 2020-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 972 | 72% | 2020-06-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2020-06-27 | | Won |
| 999 | 1167 | 28% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2020-06-27 | | Won |
| 1004 | 977 | 54% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1063 | 36% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-05-17 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2020-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2020-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2020-01-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2020-01-26 | | Won |
| 950 | 1034 | 38% | 2019-11-18 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-10-29 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1147 | 29% | 2019-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2019-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1019 | 87% | 2019-06-21 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2019-05-26 | | Won |
| 993 | 1055 | 41% | 2019-05-19 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1110 | 65% | 2019-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1218 | 37% | 2019-04-17 | | Won |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2019-03-29 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1143 | 38% | 2019-03-10 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1087 | 45% | 2019-03-02 | | Won |
| 1090 | 876 | 77% | 2019-01-22 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2019-01-01 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2018-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2018-12-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-12-01 | | Won |
| 975 | 1097 | 33% | 2018-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 850 | 84% | 2018-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2018-09-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1047.8 has a 49.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).