Liehr Launches First
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 134 (39 on the archive and 95 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 64
Defender wins (American): 69
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
986 | 969 | 52% | 2023-08-13 | Won |
875 | 994 | 34% | 2022-09-24 | Lost |
1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2022-08-03 | Won |
1022 | 1047 | 46% | 2022-08-02 | Lost |
931 | 1307 | 10% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
1307 | 1006 | 85% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
1000 | 1307 | 15% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
1055 | 900 | 71% | 2021-12-11 | Won |
984 | 1050 | 41% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
1038 | 992 | 57% | 2021-08-28 | Lost |
909 | 946 | 45% | 2021-07-04 | Won |
1103 | 1008 | 63% | 2021-06-09 | Won |
1068 | 1011 | 58% | 2021-04-27 | Won |
925 | 969 | 44% | 2021-03-21 | Lost |
1106 | 1011 | 63% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
989 | 1138 | 30% | 2021-01-15 | Lost |
1186 | 1021 | 72% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
1025 | 1056 | 46% | 2020-09-26 | Won |
1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2019-12-29 | Won |
1013 | 1100 | 38% | 2019-07-27 | Lost |
969 | 1082 | 34% | 2019-07-18 | Lost |
1110 | 1051 | 58% | 2019-06-14 | Won |
983 | 1008 | 46% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
933 | 896 | 55% | 2019-04-07 | Lost |
1138 | 1146 | 49% | 2019-03-24 | Lost |
1284 | 1211 | 60% | 2019-02-08 | Won |
1055 | 882 | 73% | 2019-01-29 | Won |
1115 | 1087 | 54% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
1047 | 879 | 72% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
1047 | 1058 | 48% | 2018-12-21 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
1094 | 1137 | 44% | 2018-11-05 | Lost |
857 | 1152 | 15% | 2018-10-27 | Lost |
1007 | 1044 | 45% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
1007 | 1138 | 32% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
1050 | 1040 | 51% | 2018-08-12 | Lost |
1102 | 1102 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1044 vs 1052 has a 48.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).