Bertoldo the Brave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 100 (24 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 49
Defender wins (American): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-07-14 | Lost |
1074 | 1006 | 60% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
1006 | 974 | 55% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-06-03 | Tied |
947 | 1179 | 21% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
994 | 1027 | 45% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
1022 | 1043 | 47% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
1034 | 950 | 62% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
1147 | 1170 | 47% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
985 | 1039 | 42% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
971 | 1064 | 37% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
969 | 1008 | 44% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
956 | 997 | 44% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
1147 | 876 | 83% | 2019-10-20 | Won |
994 | 1054 | 41% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
1137 | 1204 | 40% | 2019-01-23 | Won |
869 | 1109 | 20% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
1283 | 1207 | 61% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
1069 | 1115 | 43% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
943 | 896 | 57% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
1055 | 880 | 73% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
1144 | 856 | 84% | 2018-10-13 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1046.9 vs 1034 has a 51.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).