Bertoldo the Brave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 104 (28 on the archive and 76 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 51
Defender wins (American): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 949 | 848 | 64% | 2024-11-23 | Won |
| 1080 | 954 | 67% | 2024-07-14 | Lost |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2024-06-08 | Lost |
| 1049 | 974 | 61% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
| 1050 | 981 | 60% | 2023-06-03 | Tied |
| 948 | 1204 | 19% | 2022-10-25 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1032 | 46% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1065 | 44% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 1034 | 932 | 64% | 2021-02-02 | Won |
| 1125 | 1163 | 45% | 2020-10-19 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1034 | 48% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 972 | 1058 | 38% | 2020-01-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 1008 | 44% | 2020-01-10 | Lost |
| 956 | 997 | 44% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
| 1125 | 875 | 81% | 2019-10-20 | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2019-08-05 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1072 | 42% | 2019-07-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 858 | 76% | 2019-06-23 | Won |
| 1137 | 1198 | 41% | 2019-01-23 | Won |
| 869 | 1140 | 17% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1226 | 49% | 2019-01-04 | Won |
| 1063 | 1099 | 45% | 2018-12-16 | Lost |
| 937 | 898 | 56% | 2018-12-15 | Lost |
| 1017 | 879 | 69% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 1148 | 948 | 76% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2018-10-13 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2018-09-16 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1100 | 37% | 2018-09-03 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1044.6 vs 1024 has a 52.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).