Black Day in Hatten
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 137 (45 on the archive and 92 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 65
Defender wins (German): 72
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 1080 | 33% | 2024-06-09 | Lost |
962 | 1003 | 44% | 2024-02-28 | Lost |
1006 | 1074 | 40% | 2024-01-20 | Lost |
981 | 1050 | 40% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
928 | 954 | 46% | 2023-01-23 | Won |
1075 | 1188 | 34% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2023-01-20 | Won |
1055 | 944 | 65% | 2022-11-01 | Won |
947 | 1179 | 21% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
865 | 857 | 51% | 2022-08-06 | Won |
1345 | 1398 | 42% | 2022-06-10 | Lost |
1123 | 944 | 74% | 2022-03-23 | Won |
1043 | 1022 | 53% | 2021-12-05 | Lost |
1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2021-12-04 | Won |
1027 | 994 | 55% | 2021-10-16 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2021-10-13 | Won |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2021-02-18 | Lost |
1034 | 944 | 63% | 2021-02-01 | Won |
1031 | 1170 | 31% | 2020-12-02 | Lost |
1170 | 1147 | 53% | 2020-09-08 | Lost |
926 | 1055 | 32% | 2020-06-07 | Won |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2020-05-31 | Won |
1283 | 945 | 87% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
1018 | 943 | 61% | 2019-10-22 | Won |
943 | 1018 | 39% | 2019-10-16 | Lost |
1121 | 985 | 69% | 2019-09-16 | Won |
1208 | 1159 | 57% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
931 | 926 | 51% | 2018-12-30 | Won |
1207 | 1283 | 39% | 2018-12-23 | Lost |
986 | 1010 | 47% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
1026 | 1141 | 34% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-11-10 | Lost |
943 | 1091 | 30% | 2018-11-06 | Won |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2018-11-06 | Won |
880 | 1055 | 27% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
880 | 1055 | 27% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
880 | 1055 | 27% | 2018-10-28 | Won |
1037 | 1109 | 40% | 2018-10-26 | Lost |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
856 | 1144 | 16% | 2018-09-26 | Lost |
849 | 881 | 45% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
1115 | 1069 | 57% | 2018-09-01 | Lost |
968 | 1137 | 27% | 2018-09-01 | Lost |
977 | 964 | 52% | 2018-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1019.1 vs 1051.4 has a 45.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).