Gut Punch
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (9 on the archive and 40 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 24
Defender wins (German): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1072 | 40% | 2024-09-27 | Won |
| 948 | 1014 | 41% | 2022-12-03 | Won |
| 1271 | 991 | 83% | 2022-07-12 | Won |
| 919 | 1041 | 33% | 2021-12-28 | Lost |
| 1050 | 930 | 67% | 2020-09-04 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1101 | 48% | 2020-07-03 | Won |
| 1086 | 1012 | 60% | 2020-07-01 | Won |
| 1298 | 1087 | 77% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1074 | 51% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1082.2 vs 1035.8 has a 56.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).