The Wrong Choice
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 780 | 1113 | 13% | 2025-09-01 | Lost |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2025-08-01 | Tied |
| 945 | 990 | 44% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 893 vs 1066.7 has a 26.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).