The Replacements
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (12 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 27
Defender wins (Russian): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
886 | 875 | 52% | 2020-08-24 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2019-12-28 | Lost |
1092 | 969 | 67% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
933 | 1090 | 29% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
1008 | 894 | 66% | 2018-09-16 | Tied |
1068 | 1062 | 51% | 2018-07-29 | Won |
1000 | 933 | 60% | 2018-04-14 | Lost |
1138 | 1224 | 38% | 2018-04-06 | Won |
1094 | 1048 | 57% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
1224 | 1185 | 56% | 2018-03-11 | Lost |
1152 | 987 | 72% | 2018-03-03 | Lost |
960 | 1047 | 38% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1043.5 vs 1023.4 has a 52.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).