A Line Too Thinly Held
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 7
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1274 | 948 | 87% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
1148 | 948 | 76% | 2023-05-07 | Won |
1016 | 1100 | 38% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
1043 | 1100 | 42% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2020-08-21 | Won |
968 | 889 | 61% | 2018-10-23 | Won |
968 | 1140 | 27% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1059.6 vs 1030.3 has a 54.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).