A Line Too Thinly Held
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (North Korean): 12
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-12-22 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1119 | 53% | 2023-07-08 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1120 | 36% | 2021-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2021-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2020-08-21 | | Won |
| 972 | 891 | 61% | 2018-10-23 | | Won |
| 970 | 1146 | 27% | 2018-09-05 | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1020.3 vs 1061.3 has a 44.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).