The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
990 | 1065 | 39% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
929 | 1035 | 35% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
780 | 987 | 23% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
1155 | 1204 | 43% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
1225 | 1183 | 56% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
1059 | 1108 | 43% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
1093 | 971 | 67% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
1087 | 977 | 65% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
1058 | 1028 | 54% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1044.5 vs 1073 has a 45.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).