The Hohenstaufen Hootenanny
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (12 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
943 | 1065 | 33% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
929 | 1035 | 35% | 2022-01-31 | Won |
857 | 987 | 32% | 2022-01-06 | Lost |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2020-11-12 | Won |
1225 | 1132 | 63% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
1059 | 1055 | 51% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
1109 | 960 | 70% | 2018-08-06 | Won |
1138 | 977 | 72% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-08-01 | Won |
1225 | 1191 | 55% | 2018-07-15 | Lost |
1058 | 1043 | 52% | 2018-07-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060.8 vs 1041.8 has a 52.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).