Independence Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (3 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 3
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1057 | 1023 | 55% | 2023-11-25 | Lost |
| 1186 | 1264 | 39% | 2020-01-06 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2018-05-01 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1136 vs 1099.7 has a 55.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).