A Grain of Sand
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 19
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1010 | 985 | 54% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
1011 | 921 | 63% | 2021-02-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1055 | 56% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
1038 | 1055 | 48% | 2020-06-18 | Lost |
1152 | 1208 | 42% | 2018-10-04 | Won |
1068 | 1072 | 49% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
1152 | 987 | 72% | 2018-04-05 | Won |
987 | 1152 | 28% | 2018-04-05 | Lost |
1027 | 1047 | 47% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
1135 | 1055 | 61% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
1307 | 1082 | 79% | 2018-01-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1089.5 vs 1056.3 has a 54.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).