Up the Liri Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (28 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 51
Defender wins (German): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1070 | 1087 | 48% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
1429 | 956 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
1054 | 1049 | 51% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
971 | 1144 | 27% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
1127 | 952 | 73% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
914 | 1062 | 30% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
1144 | 914 | 79% | 2022-06-16 | Lost |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
1018 | 1429 | 9% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
1168 | 802 | 89% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
802 | 1039 | 20% | 2021-02-17 | Lost |
1131 | 1045 | 62% | 2020-10-06 | Lost |
1225 | 1014 | 77% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
983 | 1015 | 45% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
1015 | 971 | 56% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
1058 | 891 | 72% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
1009 | 983 | 54% | 2019-11-16 | Won |
1046 | 1083 | 45% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
1108 | 1122 | 48% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
987 | 951 | 55% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
1109 | 971 | 69% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
1097 | 1284 | 25% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
1173 | 1327 | 29% | 2018-03-18 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
1058 | 1030 | 54% | 2018-01-18 | Won |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2017-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1069.1 vs 1048.5 has a 52.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).