Up the Liri Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (28 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Free French): 54
Defender wins (German): 47
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1120 | 1138 | 47% | 2023-08-12 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
1431 | 954 | 94% | 2022-10-30 | Won |
1054 | 1048 | 51% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
960 | 1177 | 22% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
1040 | 952 | 62% | 2022-06-25 | Won |
914 | 1063 | 30% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
1177 | 914 | 82% | 2022-06-16 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
1007 | 1007 | 50% | 2022-03-28 | Won |
1018 | 1431 | 8% | 2022-03-05 | Lost |
1169 | 784 | 90% | 2022-02-16 | Lost |
784 | 1039 | 19% | 2021-02-17 | Lost |
1142 | 1044 | 64% | 2020-10-06 | Lost |
1225 | 1014 | 77% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1006 | 1015 | 49% | 2020-04-11 | Won |
1015 | 971 | 56% | 2020-03-29 | Lost |
992 | 891 | 64% | 2020-03-21 | Won |
1009 | 1006 | 50% | 2019-11-16 | Won |
1045 | 1069 | 47% | 2019-10-19 | Lost |
1055 | 1124 | 40% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
1003 | 1141 | 31% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
1109 | 960 | 70% | 2018-07-19 | Won |
1097 | 1283 | 26% | 2018-04-15 | Lost |
1188 | 1311 | 33% | 2018-03-18 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-03-01 | Lost |
1058 | 1043 | 52% | 2018-01-18 | Won |
1307 | 1081 | 79% | 2017-12-06 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1069.2 vs 1060.4 has a 51.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).