Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (15 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Rumanian): 38
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
965 | 917 | 57% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
879 | 917 | 45% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
1144 | 1095 | 57% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
1063 | 892 | 73% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
887 | 1060 | 27% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
1012 | 910 | 64% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
1028 | 1058 | 46% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
1063 | 970 | 63% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
1273 | 1142 | 68% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
1095 | 816 | 83% | 2017-12-27 | Lost |
1138 | 986 | 71% | 2017-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1035.3 vs 1000.1 has a 55.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).