Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (19 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 43
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1176 | 1018 | 71% | 2025-01-26 | Won |
| 1173 | 1143 | 54% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 956 | 1002 | 43% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 913 | 1002 | 37% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 1043 | 48% | 2023-08-23 | Won |
| 1195 | 1037 | 71% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
| 1012 | 892 | 67% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
| 889 | 1070 | 26% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1080 | 57% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1046 | 910 | 69% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 975 | 1176 | 24% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 1058 | 54% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1302 | 23% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 1012 | 970 | 56% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 976 | 1039 | 41% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 1254 | 1169 | 62% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1136 | 1141 | 49% | 2017-12-27 | Lost |
| 1114 | 985 | 68% | 2017-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1054.8 has a 50.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).