Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (16 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
965 | 963 | 50% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
900 | 963 | 41% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
1183 | 1055 | 68% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
1087 | 892 | 75% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
889 | 1070 | 26% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
864 | 1068 | 24% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
1050 | 910 | 69% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
997 | 1135 | 31% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
1047 | 1058 | 48% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
1082 | 1307 | 21% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
976 | 969 | 51% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
1087 | 970 | 66% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
933 | 1028 | 37% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
1273 | 1097 | 73% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
1107 | 817 | 84% | 2017-12-27 | Lost |
1106 | 986 | 67% | 2017-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1034.1 vs 1018 has a 52.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).