Red Tears Shed on Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 84 (17 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 41
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1181 | 1183 | 50% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 969 | 1007 | 45% | 2024-02-09 | Won |
| 941 | 1007 | 41% | 2024-01-03 | Won |
| 1200 | 948 | 81% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
| 1063 | 892 | 73% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
| 889 | 1070 | 26% | 2020-03-11 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1064 | 59% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 1062 | 910 | 71% | 2018-08-18 | Lost |
| 994 | 1148 | 29% | 2018-04-27 | Won |
| 1065 | 1058 | 51% | 2018-03-08 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2018-03-07 | Lost |
| 977 | 1022 | 44% | 2018-02-10 | Lost |
| 1063 | 970 | 63% | 2018-02-10 | Won |
| 938 | 1045 | 35% | 2018-01-16 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1118 | 71% | 2018-01-06 | Won |
| 1130 | 1028 | 64% | 2017-12-27 | Lost |
| 1105 | 986 | 66% | 2017-10-23 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1045.1 has a 52.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).