Mormal Forest
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (19 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (French): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1158 | 958 | 76% | 2021-04-05 | Won |
1090 | 815 | 83% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
985 | 973 | 52% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-06-20 | Won |
1075 | 1071 | 51% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
1283 | 990 | 84% | 2018-10-04 | Lost |
1158 | 1003 | 71% | 2018-09-21 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2018-06-02 | Won |
1138 | 1124 | 52% | 2018-04-06 | Lost |
1094 | 1283 | 25% | 2018-03-27 | Won |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2018-02-27 | Lost |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2018-01-24 | Lost |
1023 | 1138 | 34% | 2017-12-31 | Lost |
932 | 1051 | 34% | 2017-12-24 | Won |
1051 | 1055 | 49% | 2017-12-09 | Lost |
1043 | 1058 | 48% | 2017-11-19 | Lost |
1048 | 1092 | 44% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
1003 | 1177 | 27% | 2017-11-12 | Tied |
985 | 1105 | 33% | 2017-11-08 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1078.1 vs 1074.4 has a 50.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).