Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (26 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 60
Defender wins (Russian): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
947 | 1003 | 42% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
885 | 1060 | 27% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
964 | 1010 | 43% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
1003 | 1010 | 49% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
1012 | 992 | 53% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
857 | 1092 | 21% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
1050 | 994 | 58% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
1063 | 1040 | 53% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
985 | 973 | 52% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
1177 | 1003 | 73% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
1177 | 1048 | 68% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
1159 | 1311 | 29% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
1078 | 1003 | 61% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
1094 | 998 | 63% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
1225 | 1191 | 55% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
1242 | 1155 | 62% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
1002 | 1207 | 24% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
1081 | 1109 | 46% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
1165 | 1075 | 63% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
1081 | 1307 | 21% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
1003 | 1014 | 48% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
1069 | 1016 | 58% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
1209 | 1311 | 36% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
985 | 977 | 51% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
986 | 1144 | 29% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1059.6 vs 1076 has a 47.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).