Crickets in Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (31 on the archive and 89 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 51
Defender wins (Russian): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 780 | 87% | 2025-01-21 | Won |
| 993 | 986 | 51% | 2023-12-04 | Won |
| 909 | 1077 | 28% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1026 | 820 | 77% | 2021-05-06 | Won |
| 964 | 1154 | 25% | 2021-05-04 | Lost |
| 986 | 1010 | 47% | 2021-03-03 | Lost |
| 993 | 989 | 51% | 2020-06-18 | Won |
| 888 | 1044 | 29% | 2020-04-07 | Lost |
| 1051 | 986 | 59% | 2020-03-15 | Lost |
| 1107 | 952 | 71% | 2019-11-05 | Lost |
| 1129 | 982 | 70% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1108 | 71% | 2019-04-13 | Lost |
| 1131 | 986 | 70% | 2018-11-24 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1067 | 41% | 2018-10-01 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1042 | 63% | 2018-08-15 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1238 | 38% | 2018-06-30 | Lost |
| 1230 | 986 | 80% | 2018-04-16 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1039 | 65% | 2018-02-18 | Won |
| 1226 | 1136 | 63% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 984 | 79% | 2018-01-28 | Won |
| 1003 | 1220 | 22% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1263 | 37% | 2018-01-10 | Lost |
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2017-12-05 | Won |
| 1070 | 1083 | 48% | 2017-12-03 | Won |
| 1180 | 1127 | 58% | 2017-12-02 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1231 | 43% | 2017-11-29 | Lost |
| 1023 | 992 | 54% | 2017-10-21 | Won |
| 1065 | 1013 | 57% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
| 1053 | 1238 | 26% | 2017-10-08 | Won |
| 1129 | 1153 | 47% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1085.8 vs 1056 has a 54.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).