Flight of Fancy
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (13 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 30
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-05-28 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1093 | 51% | 2021-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1092 | 59% | 2019-07-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2019-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2019-04-23 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2019-04-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2019-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-06-10 | | Won |
| 1194 | 1000 | 75% | 2018-04-16 | | Lost |
| 1146 | 970 | 73% | 2017-12-21 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2017-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1041 | 1059 | 47% | 2017-10-28 | | Won |
| 1132 | 1108 | 53% | 2017-10-07 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1098.7 vs 1058.4 has a 55.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).