Mageret Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (11 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (American): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2026-04-08 | Lost |
| 952 | 961 | 49% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1012 | 993 | 53% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
| 993 | 1232 | 20% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1165 | 1061 | 65% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
| 934 | 1147 | 23% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1158 | 41% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
| 970 | 1123 | 29% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1218 | 989 | 79% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
| 1064 | 983 | 61% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
| 988 | 997 | 49% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1021.5 vs 1061.5 has a 44.28% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).