Mageret Morning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (10 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 961 | 45% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
1078 | 994 | 62% | 2025-03-02 | Lost |
992 | 1313 | 14% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
1189 | 994 | 75% | 2018-02-16 | Lost |
1082 | 948 | 68% | 2018-02-01 | Lost |
1092 | 1158 | 41% | 2017-12-30 | Won |
970 | 1151 | 26% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
1221 | 989 | 79% | 2017-10-04 | Lost |
1064 | 1074 | 49% | 2017-10-01 | Won |
909 | 974 | 41% | 2017-09-30 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1052.2 vs 1055.6 has a 49.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).