The Block on the Trail to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (11 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 946 | 995 | 43% | 2024-10-12 | Won |
| 1046 | 1018 | 54% | 2020-05-16 | Lost |
| 918 | 1045 | 32% | 2020-05-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 925 | 58% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1076 | 50% | 2019-02-09 | Lost |
| 1087 | 953 | 68% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 925 | 1022 | 36% | 2018-10-06 | Lost |
| 902 | 1114 | 23% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 965 | 1139 | 27% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1043 | 58% | 2017-10-04 | Won |
| 1022 | 1132 | 35% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 996.9 vs 1042 has a 43.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).