A Simple Solution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (11 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
1089 | 1083 | 51% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
1167 | 1115 | 57% | 2019-04-11 | Lost |
861 | 989 | 32% | 2019-02-27 | Won |
987 | 1013 | 46% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
927 | 1055 | 32% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
1057 | 1087 | 46% | 2017-02-17 | Won |
1207 | 1083 | 67% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036.7 vs 1055.9 has a 47.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).