A Simple Solution
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (15 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 29
Defender wins (German): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 880 | 59% | 2026-01-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1228 | 21% | 2025-12-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-08-03 | Won |
| 1074 | 1206 | 32% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1067 | 52% | 2020-01-18 | Won |
| 967 | 1064 | 36% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1006 | 65% | 2019-04-11 | Lost |
| 863 | 903 | 44% | 2019-02-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 911 | 63% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1055 | 980 | 61% | 2017-12-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-11-19 | Won |
| 1064 | 885 | 74% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2017-02-17 | Won |
| 1193 | 983 | 77% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1074 | 970 | 65% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1010.9 has a 52.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).