The Cost of Non-Compliance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (23 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1282 | 1024 | 82% | 2025-11-29 | Won |
| 1021 | 1014 | 51% | 2024-11-21 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1171 | 43% | 2024-10-27 | Tied |
| 1053 | 999 | 58% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1143 | 1174 | 46% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
| 973 | 1292 | 14% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 917 | 886 | 54% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1072 | 1117 | 44% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 993 | 44% | 2019-04-21 | Won |
| 1149 | 992 | 71% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 888 | 1167 | 17% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 888 | 1167 | 17% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1038 | 73% | 2017-11-07 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2017-07-19 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 861 | 1078 | 22% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1025 | 52% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1340 | 1056 | 84% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1153 | 59% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1112 | 42% | 2017-01-13 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1069 vs 1080.1 has a 48.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).