The Cost of Non-Compliance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (19 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 35
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1052 | 1052 | 50% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
1092 | 1075 | 52% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
972 | 1296 | 13% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
857 | 886 | 46% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
1048 | 1177 | 32% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
1155 | 993 | 72% | 2019-04-21 | Won |
1144 | 990 | 71% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
873 | 1109 | 20% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
873 | 1109 | 20% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
1078 | 1009 | 60% | 2017-11-07 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
1051 | 932 | 66% | 2017-07-19 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
1105 | 1105 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
861 | 985 | 33% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
1014 | 1025 | 48% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
1307 | 1022 | 84% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
1311 | 1209 | 64% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1058.9 vs 1053.1 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).